Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000103 0.000109 0.000115 0.000122 0.000130 0.000138 0.000148
2025-01-19 0.000091 0.000099 0.000108 0.000119 0.000131 0.000145 0.000163
2025-01-26 0.000082 0.000091 0.000101 0.000113 0.000128 0.000146 0.000169
2025-02-02 0.000079 0.000088 0.000100 0.000114 0.000132 0.000155 0.000186
2025-02-09 0.000076 0.000087 0.000100 0.000116 0.000138 0.000166 0.000206
2025-02-16 0.000075 0.000086 0.000100 0.000118 0.000143 0.000176 0.000227
2025-02-23 0.000075 0.000087 0.000103 0.000124 0.000154 0.000196 0.000264
2025-03-02 0.000071 0.000083 0.000099 0.000121 0.000152 0.000196 0.000270
2025-03-09 0.000067 0.000079 0.000095 0.000116 0.000148 0.000193 0.000272
2025-03-16 0.000065 0.000078 0.000093 0.000116 0.000149 0.000199 0.000289
2025-03-23 0.000065 0.000077 0.000094 0.000118 0.000155 0.000212 0.000319
2025-03-30 0.000063 0.000076 0.000093 0.000118 0.000156 0.000217 0.000337
2025-04-06 0.000060 0.000073 0.000089 0.000114 0.000153 0.000216 0.000343
2025-04-13 0.000057 0.000070 0.000086 0.000111 0.000150 0.000215 0.000352
2025-04-20 0.000054 0.000066 0.000082 0.000106 0.000144 0.000209 0.000346
2025-04-27 0.000053 0.000065 0.000082 0.000107 0.000148 0.000219 0.000379
2025-05-04 0.000053 0.000065 0.000082 0.000109 0.000153 0.000233 0.000427
2025-05-11 0.000052 0.000065 0.000082 0.000111 0.000158 0.000249 0.000482
2025-05-18 0.000053 0.000066 0.000085 0.000116 0.000170 0.000279 0.000596
2025-05-25 0.000051 0.000064 0.000082 0.000113 0.000167 0.000276 0.000605
2025-06-01 0.000049 0.000061 0.000079 0.000109 0.000162 0.000269 0.000598
2025-06-08 0.000048 0.000060 0.000079 0.000109 0.000163 0.000278 0.000648
2025-06-15 0.000047 0.000060 0.000079 0.000111 0.000169 0.000297 0.000752